How a 15 year old can aspire to be a billionaire

Financial Independence, Uncategorized

Last weekend I was at one of my relatives place.  She has two young kids.  One of them is around 19 years and the younger one might be around 14-15 years of age

I was very glad to notice that they had an interest in making investments at such a young age.  I also loved the idea that their father was actually instilling in them a habit of trying to evaluate different avenues in investing.  This means that in India the efforts of channels like ETNow and  CNBC TV18 & the efforts of the mutual fund industry and stock exchanges like NSE are starting to bear fruit.  If kids and parents start discussing financial products then the future is definitely bright for the Indian middle class.

When they came to know that I write a blog on achieving financial freedom, they thought of asking me for some recommendations on stocks and other investments, which I denied. I prefer not to give advice on any specific type of instruments or stocks, because a) I am not qualified and b) because everyone has a different risk appetite.

Since I like to look at just the basics and compounding and the rule of 72 are simple things that anyone can do at the back of an napkin, I just spent time with them on that.

Using the above I just explained to them without any use of even a calculator how wealthy he could grow.

If the younger son invests today Rs10000/- at the age of 15.  India’s long term growth rate has been about 15% average.  Even the indices therefore will grow at a long term average of 15%.

Therefore if he was to put this 10000/- in a Nifty ETF, it would also grow at an average of 15%.  By the rule of 72 if he divides the number 72 by 15% then he will double the money in about 4.5 years.  For simplicity let’s assume 5 years.  which means every ten years it will grow 4 times. So his investment table, if he keeps invested with this 10000/- would look like below.  Just staying invested without doing any hard work (incidentally staying invested could be the hardest thing) he can convert his Rs10000/- into Rs10million or (Rs 1 crore)

Age Amount@15% Amount@25%
25 40000 100000
35 160000 1000000
45 640000 10000000
55 2560000 100000000
65 10200000 1000000000

The second column is if he looks out for investments which can lead him to compound at close to 25%.  then you see the magic.  The amount converts to Rs1 billion (100 crores).  Look at what happens between the ages of 45 and 65.  At 45 he would have Rs 10 million and at 65 Rs 1 Billion.  Even Warren Buffet’s wealth if you Google at age 65 and now at age 85, he is one of the richest men on earth just because of this phenomenon.

Obviously getting 25% on a consistent basis is not going to be easy, over a long period of time.  But the key is going to be about staying invested.  I hope the young guy can.

If you have any young guy you know, just show him this table of what his 10000 today can do for him over  30-40 years.

Till next time….

Carpe Diem!!!

 

 

Investments and Bitcoins

Financial Independence, Uncategorized

I was recently listening to the Berkshire Hathaway annual conference addressed by Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger.  This was being beamed live via Yahoo.

In this Yahoo presentation before the conference began they had some of their correspondents check out the people who had cone and then one of the correspondents also did a small interview with Warren Buffet.  One of the questions he asked was – what Warren thought about Bitcoins and cryptocurrencies.  This question kind of has stayed with me because this was something which I myself was not clear for a long time and then a lot of people have asked me.

As is usual of Warren Buffet he gave a very simple explanation for what is an investment and what is trading.  This is something which I found very useful and I thought of sharing.

For him cryptocurrency is not a investment because the cryptocurrency has value only in the eyes of the next person who wants to buy it so it’s a commodity for trading and if someone is willing to pay higher price you gamble on that.

Unlike trading an investment is an instrument of some kind which earns on its own even if there is no one to come and buy it from you… so if you buy farmland in your village and even if the next person is not willing to buy it from you at a higher price, at the farm you can still grow crops and have cattle etc. …. Same would be the case in terms of investment in equity…or for that matter even buying a cow can be an investment and the milk can be sold

So if you are wanting to do an investment keep this fundamental concept in mind …..will this item earn for you  irrespective of somebody wanting that item or not.….if you buy foodgrains with the thought that somebody will buy it from you at a higher price then that is trading. On its own foodgrains will not grow more foodgrains for you

So your house for your own living is not an investment – which is something I had written earlier also is a bad idea, but a house which you buy to rent out to generate passive income is an investment and therefore a good investment

Equity purchase of a company which manufacturers or makes something is an investment because the company will continue to produce its goods irrespective of whether someone else comes and buys that equity from us or not

People become financially free when they make investments. These investments earn for them and compounding grows the earnings multiple times over. The longer the runway –  as Mohnish Pabrai puts it – for compounding to play its part the more wealth you create.

Till next time….when you are in a dilema…think very simply ….will it earn for me irrespective whether the other person wants it or not.

Carpe Diem!!!

 

 

 

 

Living carefree forever

Financial Independence, Uncategorized

Last week I saw this movie “102 Not Out”.

It stars 2 of the best actors in Indian cinema Mr Amitabh Bachchan and Mr Rishi Kapoor. It’s a very sweet story about a 102 year old father and his 75 year old son.
The son has lost his interest in doing anything in his life while the father is still active over the age of 100. It is an extremely sweet movie which I would recommend everyone to watch.

The movie got me thinking on how this person would have lived his life from retirement, which in India is typically at age 58, for another 40 + years.

For sure he must have had enough Investments that could last him for 40 years of zero regular income.

The average age that an Indian is approaching 70, what that means is for every 38 years of working life the average Indian will now have to survive without the facility of a regular income help him through those next 10-15 years

Given that medical expenses and medical inflation are at such high levels you really need to think how will you survive without asking for any assistance from your children

There are very few things which are inflation proof and especially for an economy which is growing so rapidly and looks to become the third largest economy in the next 15 to 20 years, inflation pressures will always be very high.

So you need to think in terms of what are your investments and what kind of returns will they give you for you to survive for those years when you don’t have a regular stream of income and still have the will to enjoy like Amitabh Bachchan in 102 not out.  You need to celebrate life not live a life of drudgery.

Tell next time
Carpe diem!!

There is nothing sexy in achieving financial freedom – part 2

Financial Independence, Uncategorized

Yesterday I wrote about how most of these Ultra rich people – Warren Buffet, Tony Robbins, Richard Koch, Robert Kiyosaki – actually followed a system rigorously even when there were roadblocks around the way

The systems required that they had to do some amount of sacrifices. Maybe they did not go out for a date when they were young because they had to ensure that they were closing something as part of their system.

I also realised when I started a bank mandate initially with just a 1000 rupees. Initially it did matter that even before I could utilise the money, the money went out from the bank. But slowly I got used to it and I went on increasing my commitments to the money getting directly debited from the bank into some Investments.

In 3 years I did not realise what a difference that had made to my financial stability. Based on the possibilities that my investments could do, I actually sat down to figure out a date by which if my assets reached a given value I could leave my job and start doing what I want.

While God has been kind in a lot of these endeavours it is also a matter of the systems working and the investments compounding in the background.

For all those young guys if they read this, just a very small portion of their income if they can directly give a bank mandate, for money to be deducted to go into an investment, without they realising, they can all become millionaires.

If you leave it to your discretion that every month you will invest based on what you save…. You will never be able to invest.

The human brain was designed to ensure that it survived and immediate gratification was more important than long term safety. Hence the brain does not allow you to take a chance with your safety of money and wants you to have it till the last moment. But when you have a system to automatically reduce the money from your bank for an investment the brain gets used to the lesser amount of money and you are able to live a similar Lifestyle even with that less money.

Today there are possibilities of various kinds depending on your appetite and the goals that you have to invest in mutual funds in SAP or in a recurring deposit whichever way you want.

Whatever you do and whatever your risk appetite, put a system in place so that it works in the background and gets you to your goal

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